Testing an Aggressive Growth Target Before Funding It
Top-10 global biopharma, Specialty Franchise
- The challenge
- Leadership had committed to growing an established brand several times over, closing a gap of several hundred million dollars in annual sales. Promotional support had recently been reduced, and a competitor with a similar product was moving toward approval. Several country launches were delayed by pricing, reimbursement or regulatory issues. Meanwhile, digital health companies were proposing partnerships faster than the team could evaluate them. Leaders needed to know which growth options were viable before committing the next budget cycle.
- What we did
- We tested each major growth lever behind the target: new indications, new geographies and digital health partnerships. We sized the incremental revenue opportunity for each adjacent indication and tracked launch readiness across multiple markets. We also built a weighted framework to evaluate digital health partners on clinical evidence, user base, data value and commercial readiness. We then translated these findings into a prioritized investment plan for the next budget cycle.
- The impact
- Identified a new revenue opportunity of over $300 million a year from a new indication in a previously untapped market, assuming a modest share of eligible patients were treated.
- Exposed well over $500 million in revenue at risk in one major market, showing leadership that this revenue depended on a pending product launch and giving them the evidence to decide whether to fund it.
- Directed the next budget cycle toward the growth levers most likely to close the gap, and screened out digital health partners whose evidence did not justify investment.












